Besides being a 2 1/2 point favorite, here are three reasons why Colts’ fans should be confident in Saturday’s Wild Card playoff tilt with Kansas City.

COLTS JUST BEAT THEM

When it comes to the playoffs, you have to take regular season results with a grain of salt.  However, seeing as the Colts’ will only be thirteen days removed from a dominating 23-7 win over the Chiefs at Arrowhead, it’s hard not to feel good about the matchup.  Indianapolis forced Kansas City, who entered the game an NFL-best +21 in giveaway/takeaway margin, into four turnovers and shut them out over the final 56 minutes after an opening drive score.  Surprisingly, Jamaal Charles only had 18 touches in the loss – expect that to change tomorrow.

A CLOSER EXAMINATION OF KC’S ELEVEN WINS FINDS…

…that the Chiefs haven’t really beaten anyone this season.  Kansas City is just 1-5 against teams that finished the regular season with a winning record.  That one win was Week 3 against Philadelphia with Michael Vick at quarterback.  Outside of that, the Chiefs have ten wins over the Raiders (twice), Titans, Texans, Giants, Jaguars, Browns, Bills, Cowboys, and Redskins.  Blech.  The starting quarterbacks in Kansas City’s wins were Terrelle Pryor, Matt McGloin, Ryan Fitzpatrick, Michael Vick, Tony Romo, Case Keenum, Jason Campbell, Jeff Tuel, Robert Griffin III, and the NFL’s interception leader, Eli Manning.  That isn’t exactly a murderer’s row.  Kansas City doesn’t have to apologize for their schedule – it’s not their fault that they drew the AFC South, NFC East (the league’s two worst divisions), and last-place Cleveland and Buffalo – but, they haven’t shown the ability to defeat the good teams, and more importantly, the good quarterbacks, on their schedule.  Meanwhile, the Colts recorded four wins against teams 11-5 or better.

HISTORY

Does your history against a team matter?  I know a lot of Colts’ fans believe that to be the case with San Diego, who has owned Indy in recent matchups.  What happened back in 1995 won’t matter tomorrow afternoon, but it is interesting to see how one-sided these high stakes matchups between the Colts and Chiefs have been.  In the Super Bowl era, Kansas City has won thirteen or more games three times (1995, 1997, 2003).  In two of those three seasons (1995, 2003) the Colts knocked them out of the playoffs.  The Chiefs haven’t won a playoff game since the 1993 season, which is the third-longest current streak in the NFL.  They’ve played six playoff games since, and the Colts have eliminated them in half of those games, including the first win of Indy’s march to Super Bowl XLI in the 2006 AFC Wild Card Round.  In total, the Colts are 12-2 against Kansas City since 1990, and one of those losses came by five points during the 2-14 2011 campaign.